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Tuesday 31 July 2018

A Breakfast... Salad? OK, Hear Me Out~

It’s summer, so I usually hit up my local Farmer’s Market once a week to stock up on fresh summer fruits and veggies... and sometimes I go a little overboard when it comes to the  fruits and produce. 
In my head I’m all like: It’s healthy, the price is right, it’s straight from the farm - of course I’ll eat it all! 
But in reality, sometimes my eyes are bigger than my stomach - or I don’t feel like cooking and or preparing what I bought… or I end up meeting up with friends for dinner and forget about my food in the fridge. Or - I just run out of time.
Did I mention that I HATE to waste food? 
Also: For a good portion of June and July - the weather has been oppressively hot - like crazy hot. Like it’s already 80 degrees at 7:30 a.m., and on a recent Saturday morning, type of hot. 
So damn hot, that eating eggs over medium-well with a slice of toast wasn't doing it for me - also, I'd recently hit the Greek yogurt wall - so NOPE. 
I looked in my fridge on that humid Saturday morning and saw a fresh veggie bounty of radishes/radish greens,(which make for an excellent leafy green lettuce;) cucumbers, sugar snap peas and baby onions— all from purchased from the Farmer’s Market  - plus a couple of hard boiled eggs, a lemon, goat cheese, and fresh mint from my garden. 
Sidebar: There was EVOO, balsamic vinegar, and spices in the pantry - JACK POT. 
Yep, I had all the ingredients for a pretty damn fine salad  - so that’s what I made. 
I made a breakfast salad - and not because it was healthy, but because it was so damn hot that I needed a cool meal and some iced coffee, STAT. 
And I made a hell of a breakfast salad! It was effing fabulous! tasty, refreshing, SUPER DELICIOUS. And OK yeah, it was easy on the blood sugars. 
Also, not super weird once you get past the whole eating a delicious salad at breakfast, thing. 
Photographic evidence of my first attempt at "Breakfast Salad."
And thus began my dalliance with breakfast salads. Once or twice a week (and usually on a weekend,) I make myself a damn fine breakfast salad in cooled in the fridge metal mixing bowl, and with whatever fresh veggies and proteins I have in the fridge. 
Sometimes it’s a fresh tomato salad with mozzarella, a few cups of fresh basil, and a small hunk of Italian bread chopped up into little bits, other times it’s chopped hard boiled eggs; carrots, avocados, tomatoes, cucumbers, french feta or cheddar, onions and greens with homemade dressing. 
Avocado, tomato, egg, onion, cucumber, cilantro, and egg Breakfast Salad
Whatever’s in my fridge that can go in a salad - goes in my breakfast salad… and my dinner salads.
A cool breakfast salad on hot summer day - I"m down with it - I love it - and you might be surprised how much you like it. 

Or: I’m weird - and in a great way... but we already knew that~  


via Diabetesaliciousness

A Breakfast.... Salad? OK, Here Me Out ~

It’s summer, so I usually hit up my local Farmer’s Market once a week to stock up on fresh summer fruits and veggies... and sometimes I go a little overboard when it comes to the  fruits and produce. 
In my head I’m all like: It’s healthy, the price is right, it’s straight from the farm - of course I’ll eat it all. 
But in reality, sometimes my eyes are bigger than my stomach - or I don’t feel like cooking and or preparing what I bought… or I end up meeting up with friends for dinner and forget about my food in the fridge. 
Did I mention that I HATE to waste food? 
Also: For a good portion of June and July - the weather has been oppressively hot - like crazy hot. Like it’s already 80 degrees at 7:30 a.m., on a recent Saturday morning, type of hot. 
So damn hot, that eating eggs over medium-well with a slice of toast wasn't doing it for me -  and I'd recently hit the Greek yogurt wall. 
I looked in my fridge on that humid Saturday morning and saw a fresh veggie bounty of radishes/radish greens,(which make for an excellent leafy green lettuce;) cucumbers, sugar snap peas and baby onions— all from purchased from the Farmer’s Market  - plus a couple of hard boiled eggs, a lemon, goat cheese, and fresh mint from my garden. 
Sidebar: There was EVOO and balsamic vinegar in the pantry - JACK POT. 
Yep, I had all the ingredients for a pretty damn fine salad  - so that’s what I made. 
I made a breakfast salad - and not because it was healthy, but because it was so damn hot that I needed a cool meal and some iced coffee, STAT. 
And I made a hell of a breakfast salad! It was effing fabulous! tasty, refreshing, SUPER DELICIOUS. And OK yeah, it was easy on the blood sugars. 
Also, not super weird once you get past the whole eating a delicious salad at breakfast, thing. 
Photographic evidence of my first attempt at "Breakfast Salad."
And thus began my dalliance with breakfast salads. Once or twice a week (and usually on a weekend,) I make myself a damn fine breakfast salad with whatever fresh veggies and protein I have in the fridge. 
Sometimes it’s a fresh tomato salad with mozzarella, a few cups of fresh basil, and a small hunk of Italian bread chopped up into little bits, other times it’s chopped hard boiled eggs; chopped carrots, avocados, tomatoes, cucumbers, french feta or cheddar, onions and greens with homemade dressing. 
Avocado, tomato, egg, onion, cucumber, cilantro, and egg Breakfast Salad
Whatever’s in my fridge that can go in a salad - goes in my breakfast salad… and my dinner salads.
A cool breakfast salad on hot summer day - I"m down with it - I love it - and you might be surprised how much you like it. 

Or: I’m weird - and in a great way... but we already knew that~  


via Diabetesaliciousness

Monday 30 July 2018

High glucose spikes are common in 'healthy' people. Are these people really "heaslthy"? July 30,2018

       At first, before say that people were "healthy" the tests must be run. But there is the problem. Diabetes tested by level of sugar in blood, and this level never the same. It is different even when taken from different fingers, or other parts of body. So, how to be sure that glucose spike happened in healthy person? Millions of not diagnosed diabetics in America and other countries. Why? because of diabetes is not spreading as it is infection. So, society is safe even every one out of ten American is diabetic.
The most common way to measure blood glucose is by testing a fasting blood sample which will reveal the level at that particular point in time.      
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/07/180724174233.htm?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+sciencedaily%2Fhealth_medicine%2Fdiabetes+%28Diabetes+News+--+ScienceDaily%29
        Yes, it is most common test for diabetes, why? If I am not wrong, diabetes resulted by impaired ability body system to process  carbs. When fasting there is no longer carbs in blood, so the level of sugar would be lowest. Not after meal  it is "glucose spice" and it is presented that person is "healthy". How reliable this presentation which given by Med Pro? Or other Pro. I do not know who is who. What I do know for sure, glucose spikes never happened in healthy people. Even diabetics who keep sugar under good control, do not have high glucose spikes.
       To assess how different people react to the same meal, the team provided three different standardized breakfasts to study participants: corn flakes with milk, bread with peanut butter, and a nutrition bar. The individual responses to these meals were unique, suggesting that people metabolize the same nutrients in an individualized way. Certain commonly eaten foods such as corn flakes were also found to cause a large glucose spike in most participants. As food has a major impact on glucose fluctuations, the team is building models to predict the foods that personally affect each individual.
What can I see in these point?
       The diet, any diet, cannot  reduce level of sugar in every one. So, low carb, or diet 5:2, or calorie counting, nether one can work at the same way for every one. And now, ADA push every one of us to be the same body weight and body shape, regardless our race, work  difficulties, and so on. Is this really possible? Not at all. It is Fake Medical Instructions for people with Diabetes.
      The reason for study? Why this studies so important?
It is money. Every researcher in study will have own share. What participants will have? Probably a little $, and lost time.  What study will bring to diabetic's community? The another rain in abuse that because of we eat wrong we do have high blood sugar.
       The real result?
If person is healthy then withing two hours there is no spike in glucose level. Did publisher said when and how level of sugar was taken? What level of sugar was after meal? 2hr after meal? Did they tested those with high glucose spike if they are not healthy but really already diabetics?  There is no study in this study.
 As food has a major impact on glucose fluctuations,
       Really? They studied milk and corn flakes, and come to conclusion that food is a major impact on glucose level, but  what another impacts they are studied? No info. What impact on glucose level has insulin? No info. No studies. And with shameless ignorance they present, food has major impact.
      When, I suggest another study to see if it is food or limited insulin secretion which has major impact on glucose level. Take group of diabetics and give them the same food. Then take blood sugar readings and see how different level of sugar in blood. After that give every one insulin shot and see, how level of sugar will go down. In this test we see that regarding of insulin secretion blood sugar is spiking.  The meal is the same. The level of sugar is different. But what about level of insulin and ability of pancreas to secret insulin or store it? There are three variables in formula. In study they took two, and ignored third.
Fake Studies.


via Ravenvoron

Wednesday 25 July 2018

A1C: MedlinePlus Health Topic

Source: National Library of Medicine - From the National Institutes of Health




via Diabetes

Ketones in Blood Test

Source: National Library of Medicine - From the National Institutes of Health




via Diabetes

Dinner And A Diabetes Hypothetical ~


One of my closest friends in the world and I had dinner the other night. 
We talked about all sorts of things - Our lives; the shit show that is American politics, stupid people, and the complexities of the the endocrine system — including my diabetes.

My Friend: So hypothetically speaking and in an alternative universe/perfect world, if you were to eat the exact same food, the exact same amount of food, at the same time each day and do the same activity two days in a row, and not factoring in hormones, stress, etc.,  because alternative/perfect universe, your blood sugars should be the same two days in a row… right? 

Me: Hypothetically speaking, if the queen had balls she’d be king. 
And yes, “hypotherically speaking and in an alternative universe/perfect world," if I were to eat the same food, and the exact amount of said food, at the same time of day, and did the same amount of activity two day in a row. And not factoring in hormones; stress, hydration, heat, cold, the common cold, the alignment of the planets, which way the wind is blowing, tide charts and a boatload of other variables, because alternative universe/perfect world - my blood sugars should be the same - or at least in the same ballpark as they were the day before. 

But that’s not how it works. That’s not how any of this (and by THIS, of course I mean diabetes), works. Because diabetes is never the same disease two days in a row and as we know, diabetes is a fickle bitch. 

My Friend: And because that would be too fucking easy. 

Me: EXACTLY. Also, in an alternative universe/perfect world - I would have a perfectly functioning pancreas and we wouldn't be having this conversation.

My Friend: True. But we'd still be drinking Prosecco.
Me: YOU KNOW IT. 


ALSO: Is it any wonder that we’re friends? 


via Diabetesaliciousness

Monday 23 July 2018

The Gatorade Trick


I have no official connection to Gatorade, and this is not medical advice, but marching band practice is well underway here, and I have stocked up...

Gatorade's low-carb G2 is my daughter's go-to drink for evening marching band practice.



We first tried G2 for middle school volleyball which was a slow-paced, instructional, noncompetitive evening rec. league activity. We tried it mostly as a compromise because middle school is the era of 'all my friends are...,' and all her friends brought Gatorade to volleyball. As it turned out, it also helped her end up with better blood sugars than on the nights she didn't take it to practice.

There are eight grams of carbohydrate in twelve ounces of G2.  About that amount, poured over an abundance of ice and sometimes diluted with water to fill a large container, sipped slowly over the course of a 3 hour marching band practice, is just about right. Infusing just a few carbs per hour to burn off immediately seems, for her, to keep the lows at bay.

We've tried, as an alternative to this plan (generally when I've neglected to stock up at the grocery store), bolusing less insulin for pre-practice dinner, which just leads to an immediate spike. We've set temp basals, which lead to overnight highs. The Gatorade is what works for her.

Two years in, there have been 2 occasions when she's had to sit on the sidelines for a few minutes for a significant low to come up. That's with hundreds of hours of practice and performance.

It's obviously not just the Gatorade. A solid, healthy meal before practice, assessing the Dexcom or glucometer at breaks and reacting accordingly, and having a well-stocked bag of diabetes tricks including healthy snacks and fast-acting carbs are among countless factors crucial to staying in range enough to participate and enjoy the activity.  But on occasions when I've neglected to replenish the Gatorade supply things have not worked out as well.







via Adventures in Diabetes Parenting

Friday 20 July 2018

Dr. Faustman Publishes Follow On BCG Data From Phase-I Trial

Dr. Faustman published a paper [r2] and a poster [r1] that contained results from an extension to her Phase-I trial [r17].  These results have generated a lot of buzz, and the study was complex, so this is going to be a long post with four sections:  First, a quick summary.  Second, a more detailed discussion of her results.  Third, a discussion of the buzz surrounding those results.  And fourth, a discussion of where her research goes from here.  The [dN] marks mean that there is more discussion about this point at the end of the blog post, and the [rN] marks are references which are also at the end of the posting.

I've written a total of 18 blog entries on this line of research over the last 10+ years, and you can read them all here:  https://cureresearch4type1diabetes.blogspot.com/search/label/Faustman

The short history is this: Dr. Faustman is trying to cure type-1 diabetes by using BCG, a widely used tuberculosis vaccine.  Dr. Faustman published phase-I clinical trial data in 2012, and is now publishing data from an extension to that trial. 

Quick Summary of Results and Importance

All of these points are discussed in a lot more detail below, especially including the data they are based on, and how I got from the data to these summary points:
  1. C-peptide is the FDA, researcher, and industry standard for evaluating cures for type-1 diabetes, and the C-peptide data reported here shows the BCG did not cause a rise in C-peptide levels.  These results mean that this extended phase-I trial has worse results/is farther away from a cure, than the initial phase-I study reported years ago.   The first phase-I showed tiny increases in C-peptide, but here, no clinically significant increases are seen.
  2. A1c data is generally used to evaluate treatments for type-1 (not cures).  The A1c data is the best data reported here (an improvement of about 0.8), and is similar to several other treatments already available or in later phases of clinical trials.  All the data presented here is based on a very small number of people who actually got BCG (3 people in some cases 12 in others).  Furthermore, it is inconsistent.  At some points in time the BCG group did worse than the control groups, while at other times they did better. 
  3. Dr. Faustman had a theory as to why BCG could cure type-1 diabetes.  The paper is clear that the A1c results seen here are not caused by this theory.  The paper presents a new theory to explain the cause of these results.  
  4. There is a phase-II trial underway (with results expected in 2023), so we will have more data then.
  5. And finally, the primary end point for the phase-I trial was autoreactive t-cells, and this extension to the phase-I trial did not include data on autoreactive t-cells, which means the clinical trial was unsuccessful.
Results and Discussion

As with all science, the important information is the results of the study, so let's take a look at the data presented (and the data that was not presented):

A1c Data
Graph is from Dr. Faustman's paper, and is presented
 for educational purposes only.

The best data in the paper was A1c data.  The graph at the right (taken from the paper) shows the A1c numbers for the people treated with BCG (in red) vs. two types of control groups (in black). [r2]

You can see that the people treated with BCG had worse A1c numbers for the first two years after the treatment.  They then improved noticeably for the next two years, and then gradually increased for the next four years.  Overall the patients had worse A1c numbers for the first two years, and better for the next six years.

Importance of the A1c Data

For me, this data does not support the idea that BCG is a cure for type-1 diabetes.  It doesn't even support the idea that BCG is a treatment for type-1 diabetes.

First and most importantly, A1c data is typically used to measure treatments not cures [d1].  This is for a very good reason: many things, unrelated to a cure, impact A1c numbers.  Being more aggressive about insulin dosing,  going on a low carb diet, using a CGM, or taking an SGLT or GLP-1 drug can all impact A1c numbers as seen here [d2], but none of them are a path to a cure.

On the other hand, the only thing that impacts C-peptide numbers is the body generating its own insulin [d3].  That is why researchers commonly use (and the FDA expects) C-peptide as the end point for clinical trials aimed at curing type-1 diabetes [d5].   Generating your own insulin and maintaining that production is what cures type-1 diabetes, and it is exactly what C-peptides measure.  This is an important point and discussed in detail in [r9] (the conclusions of the D-Cure workshop).

Second, the data above in inconsistent: worse for two years and better for six.  If you are going to argue that the good numbers (3-5 years out) are really caused by BCG, then you have to assume that the bad numbers (0-2 years out) are also caused by the BCG.  After all those numbers are closer to the BCG dose.  It seems much more reasonable to me to assume that neither the bad numbers nor the good numbers had much to do with the BCG dose.

Third, existing treatments have already shown better and more consistent improvements in A1c than are seen here.  These are described in more detail in [d2] and [r11-13].  If I wanted to get excited about new treatments for type-1 diabetes, BCG would get in line with the many treatments which have stronger evidence in larger clinical trials [d10].

Fourth, the eight year data is based on 3 people, and the five year data on 12 people, and there are two problems with these numbers.  The big, obvious problem is that they are tiny, especially the 8 year data [d6]. The second issue is that more people were added after the end of the phase-I trial.  This is unusual.  Normally an "extension" or a "follow on" trial simply follows the same group of people (or a subset) for a longer period of time.  It's quite unusual to see new patients added after the end of the trial as described by the clinical trial registry.   

The A1c results also have a serious problem with "results switching" described [d7] and [r16].

As a side note, even as a measure of treatment success, A1c is falling out of favor as compared to "time spent in range" and quality of life measures as proposed by the "Beyond A1c" movement:
https://diatribe.org/public-workshop-outcomes-beyond-a1c-brings-patient-preferences-fda

C-Peptide Data

As stated previously, C-peptide numbers are the best measure of progress towards a cure [d4], so these are the numbers we should pay the most attention to.  Here are a few quotes from the paper: 
"The BCG-treated type 1 diabetic subjects at year 4 after glucagon challenge had a negligible to no return of clinically significant C-peptide. "
"The human pancreas after BCG even at four years after repeat vaccinations did not secrete significant insulin as clinically measured by C-peptide."
"Therefore we concluded that BCG vaccinations did not induce a clinically meaningful return of C-peptide levels in the pancreas by regeneration" [r2]
The paper reported that at 4 years (the point of highest A1c effect) the C-peptide numbers for the treated patients were "in the range of 2–3 pmol/L."  Table 1c in the paper included C-peptide numbers, but the numeric data was not included in the paper or the supplemental materials.  My eyeballing of the data is that the control group started off just below 2 pmol/L and the treated group started off just above 2 pmol/L.

Importance of the C-Peptide Data

In terms of measuring progress towards a cure, C-peptide data is the most important data.  When the FDA, EMA, or other researchers evaluate this study, it is the key data they will look at [d11].  It shows no progress towards a cure.  That is bad news for BCG-as-a-cure research.

Several Additional Metabolites

In addition to A1c and C-Peptide data, the paper also reported on a variety of metabolites.  These are various chemical markers of what is happening inside the body.  The purpose of these measurements is to try to figure out what was causing the changes to A1c seen in the study.  If you care about these details, then I urge you to read the paper [r2].

The statistically significant differences between people with type-1 who were given and not given BCG are summarized as follows:
In the purine pathway, adenine, N6-carbamoylthreonyladenosine, 7-methylguanine and N2,N2-dimethylguanosine all statistically showed significant increases in BCG-treated T1Ds compared to untreated T1Ds [r2]
Autoreactive T-Cell Data

This study reports on an extension to the phase-I trial, but it does not report on the primary outcome of that study (autoreactive t-cells) [r6].  In the world of clinical trials, this means this extension to the phase-I trial was unsuccessful.

A clinical trial is considered successful if there are good, statistically significant results for the primary outcome, using standard data analysis.  You can read a lot more about this definition here:
https://cureresearch4type1diabetes.blogspot.com/p/recently-on-couple-of-occasions-ive.html
The key point is that not reporting on a primary end point, means the trial has failed.

The autoreactive t-cells results were involved in the "results switching" described [d7] and [r16].

The Change of Theory

Until this publication, Dr. Faustman believed that BCG worked by causing the body to generate more TNF, and this TNF caused the body to generate fewer autoreactive T-cells [r17].  Fewer of these bad T-cells resulted in a cure [d9].  She has published a few papers and edited a book on this theory [r10].

However, in this paper she makes it clear that this theory is not causing the A1c changes.  To quote her paper:
"The mechanism for lowered HbA1c values was not equivalent to the NOD [non-obese diabetic] mouse pancreas regeneration after BCG treatment" [r2]
And the paper describes a replacement theory:
"[BCG causes] a cellular switch from primarily oxidative phosphorylation, a low glucose utilization state, to augmented early aerobic glycolysis, a high glucose utilization state associated with high purine metabolism" [r2]
BCG lowers A1c by changing the way the body uses glucose, so that it burns more, which lowers blood glucose levels and therefore A1c numbers.  The new theory and the old theory are completely different.  Among other things, the old theory was based on immunology, while the new theory is based on glucose metabolism.  The new theory could replace the old theory, or both could be happening in parallel.

The Importance of The Change In Theory

Initially, I didn't think this change mattered much.  I'm much more focused on the question of effectiveness than mechanism.   (Put another way: I want a cure for my daughter, and I don't care exactly why it works, so long as it does work.)  But then I realized the implications of this change in theory.

BCG has finished a phase-I clinical trial.  At this point, most drugs would have two reasons to think they might be successful: the results of their phase-I trial and the results of the previous animal experiments.   That means that even if the phase-I trial was unsuccessful, the researcher could still rely on the animal trials for motivation, and try another human trial to capitalize on whatever good results were seen in the animal studies.   This is particularly important for BCG because the phase-I trial did not lead to successful C-peptide numbers.

However, Dr. Faustman is now saying that the TNF theory did cause the good results in mice, but is not causing the good results in people.  So therefore, it is hard to go back to her animal research to get support for her current human research.  And the human research itself is not yielding good results [r21].

Why The Hype?

A big part of the reason this study is important, is because of the buzz it has generated.  Therefore, understanding where that buzz comes from is important.  In my opinion, the results from the paper don't merit much excitement.  The hype comes from the news coverage of the press release, and I think it is always a mistake to react to hype in press releases when the underlying paper does not generate the same level of excitement.  This is a general problem in medical research and I'd recommend reading the articles listed here [r14].  Those articles cover the problem from several different points of view.

 The press release starts out with this sentence:
"Long-term follow-up of participants in clinical trials of a generic vaccine to reverse advanced type 1 diabetes finds significant clinical benefits, including restoration of near-normal blood sugar levels." [r3]
Consider the word "reversal", which is often interpreted to mean "cure".  (Compare "drug X reverses disease Y to "drug X cures disease Y".  Same meaning.)  Reversal is also in that first sentence to refer to results in people.   However, in the body of the paper, different forms of reversal are used 5 times (3 times for mice, 1 time to say the results did not include reversal, and 1 time for speculation about reversal).  Never in the paper was the word "reversal" used to describe the results in people, yet it was used in exactly that way in the first sentence of the press release.

Also, the press release uses the term "near-normal blood sugar levels" repeatedly.  Many newspapers interpreted this to be near-cure, and wrote their headlines accordingly.  But let me ask you a simple question:  If someone has type-1 diabetes and uses a lot of technology and generally works hard at treating their type-1, and has an A1c in the mid or low 6s, would you describe that as "near-normal blood sugar levels"?  Maybe.  But that says nothing about if they are close to a cure for type-1 diabetes.  Saying "near-normal" generates a lot of hype, but a cure is based on not needing to constantly treat your type-1 diabetes.  And the study is clear:  No one treated their type-1 diabetes any less because of the BCG: not fewer blood checks, not less insulin.  Everyone continued their standard care: dosing for what they ate, counting carbs, and anything else that we would associate with type-1 diabetes [d8].

The subtitle of the press release is:
"Mass. General study finds novel mechanism underlying stable, durable blood sugar control" [r3]
Now take a look at the previous graph of A1c numbers.  Does that look stable to you?  Does it look durable?  Not to me.  Quite the opposite, the good results are completely dependent on when you look at the data.  Two years after treatment the numbers are bad.  Between four and six years they are good.  At the end of the study, they are heading back towards where they started.  This is neither stable or durable.

The press release gives specific A1c data for 3 years and 4 years, and the average for the four year period from 3-7 years.  The 4 year numbers are the best found in the study, the 3 year second best, and the 3-7 year time frame the "good years" of the study.  However, the 1st and 2nd years (when results are bad) are not mentioned, and the average presented in the press release specifically excludes those years. It's like calculating a child's GPA but excluding their worst grades.  Of course it looks good, but it doesn't represent their real level of accomplishment.

Where BCG Research Goes From Here

One answer to this question is simple: a phase-II study is already underway, so we just wait until 2023 for those results to be published.  For BCG to be successful as a cure, it needs a specific kind of good news from the phase-II study: C-peptide data which is both statistically significant and clinically significant, and which comes from a large group of people with a good control group.  As a treatment (something taken in addition to insulin) then A1c data is enough.  It would still need to be statistically significant and clinically significant, and come from a large group of people with a good control group.  But all of that is possible from the phase-II trial.

Another answer is this: At this point, both publications from the phase-I trial were unsuccessful.  While an unsuccessful phase-I trial usually ends the line of research, this is not always true.  My guess is that about 20% of the current current phase-II trials are occurring after an unsuccessful phase-I result.  So there is always some hope.

But the real question is, how optimistic should we be about this line of research?  In my opinion, not very optimistic.  Above, I've described why the C-peptide and A1c data in this specific paper don't give me much hope for success in the future.  However, when I look at the (roughly) 15 year history of BCG trials in people, and put this paper into the context of the previous BCG research, I see a couple of additional red flags:

First is the lack of forward progress, given 15+ years / 34 million dollars [r20].  Fifteen years is enough time to get from the start of a phase-I to end of phase-III trials, and $34 million is more money than most academic researchers can spend on one line of research.  But for all that, I don't see any forward progress.  In 2003, we had no data on BCG's curative effect on people.  Now, we still don't have any positive C-peptide data to answer that question.  The hope is that the phase-II trial will answer it in 2023 or so.

Second, is the changing target of the research.  Successful research tends to have one target ("primary end point"), and gathers more evidence and stronger evidence on that target over time.  That is the progress that researchers expect.  However this line of research has changed its target repeatedly.  When the phase-I study started, the primary end point was autoreactive t-cells [r6].  When the phase-I study ended, the headline data was C-peptides [r17], and now this extension headlines A1c data [r2].

Even worse, this paper conflicts with the previous paper, even though they are both based on data from the phase-I trial. The initial phase-I paper showed: small, good results for C-peptide, no good results for A1c data, and support for the TNF hypothesis.  This paper shows no good results for C-peptide, mild, good results for A1c data, and support for a sugar metabolism hypothesis, but not a TNF hypothesis.  Good science builds on itself: the first results might be small, but the next results are stronger.  But here, the next results are not bigger, they are different.  That is not the normal course of scientific progress.

Personal Note

Many people, with wildly different viewpoints, reviewed this blog posting.  I want to thank everyone who spent time on it.  It needed a lot of work, and benefited from every reviewer's feedback.   All mistakes are my own.

Extra Discussion [d-Numbered] Footnotes

[d1] Consider a simple example: injecting insulin.  If you inject more insulin your A1c will go down, but your C-peptide numbers will not change.  A researcher who is treating A1c as progress toward a cure will see injecting more insulin as progress towards a cure.  That is why researchers measure C-peptide to evaluate progress to a cure.

Or consider this: "in the 1990s, the FDA began to approve drugs for the treatment of diabetes based upon hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) as the outcome. The prevailing belief was that risk reduction could be achieved by a clinical focus on reaching target values of HbA1c" [r18]

[d2]  For instance this slide [r20] presents data from four different groups treated with different type-2 diabetes medicines (two medicines at two doses).  All four of these groups dropped the same or more as is seen here.  And [r21] shows that simply using CGMs can lower A1c numbers in pregnant women about the same as seen here.  And [r22] shows that a new class of drugs (approved in type-2s and being tested in type-1s) called SGLTs lower A1cs about as much as seen here.  And the list goes on.

The bottom line is that the average improvements seen in this study are similar to the average improvements seen in many other treatments, which are much closer to FDA approval (or already have EMA approval) for type-1 diabetes. 

When we look at A1c for people who got BCG over the life of the study, it averages about 6.6 which is about 0.8 below the 7.4 where it started.  (The result is a little worse (about 0.5) if we compare it to the control group, which started at about 7.1).

For comparison, all of these treatments have gotten results similar to the 0.8 improvement seen here in either type-1 diabetes, type-2 diabetes, or both:
    Semaglutide: A1c improvement of 1.5 [r20]
    Delaglutide: A1c improvement of 1.2 [r20]
    CGM use during pregnacy: A1c improvement of 0.6 [r21]
    SGLT2 inhibitors: A1c improvements of 0.5 to 0.8 [r22]

[d3] As an example, When was the last time your doctor said "If you do X, Y, or Z you will have better A1c numbers next time?  We get it all the time.  But when was the last time your doctor said "If you do X, Y, or Z your c-peptide number will be better"?  Never.  This shows both that A1c is a measure of treatment, and why it is not a good measure of a cure.

[d4]  For example the following quote is from the D-Cure workshop of international experts held in Barcelona in April 2007 [r9]:
"It is now an accepted approach to evaluate endogenous insulin secretion by measuring C-peptide levels (with highly sensitive and normalized measurement methods) in response to a physiologic stimulus (liquid mixed-meal) under standardized conditions."
This report goes on to specifically to consider and reject A1c as a measure of a cure:
"differences in HbA1c between treatment and placebo groups are minimal and thus cannot serve as robust measures of efficacy"
[d5] I reviewed all phase-III clinical trials aimed at curing type-1 diabetes in the last 15 years.  These are in the final stage of clinical trials, which lead (if successful) to FDA approval.  There have been 11 by my count, testing a total of 4 different treatments.   Of these, 6 used C-peptide as their sole primary outcome.  None used A1c alone as their sole primary outcome.  One used it as part of a dual primary outcome. Four used other measures as their primary outcome.

[d6]  It was not supposed to be that small.  The phase-I trial was supposed to have 12 treated people and 12 control [r6].  However, for reasons never published, the original trial only gave 3 people BCG.

[d7] Finally, these A1c results represent what is commonly called "results switching" in clinical trials, and this is very dangerous in reporting results.  Results switching is when the researcher says they are going to report one result (and designs the trial to do this), but then ends up reporting on a different result.  One of the reasons the FDA has a public clinical trial registry [r19] is specifically so that researchers need to publicly announce what their end points are ahead of time.  This prevents them from selecting end points to create success after the data is gathered.

Obviously, it is bad when secondary results are switched, and worse when a secondary result is used to replace an unsuccessful primary result.  However, in this study we see the worse form of "results switch" where an unsuccessful primary end point (autoreactive t-cells) is not reported, and replaced with a better, but still mediocre, result (A1c) which was previously not part of the study at all!

There are several articles on results swapping listed here [r16].

[d8] Compare Dr. Faustman's use of language in the press release with Dr. Bernstein's use of language.  Dr. Bernstein uses a low carb diet and aggressive insulin dosing to achieve A1c numbers lower than those reported in Dr. Faustman's research.  His target A1c is 4.5, much lower than Dr. Faustman achieved here.  However, Dr. Bernstein never refers to curing type-1 diabetes.  He is very clear that the low A1c numbers he aims for might be the same as someone without type-1 diabetes, but that is in no way a cure.

To put it bluntly: if you think Dr. Faustman's A1c numbers in the mid-6s represents a near cure, then you would have to agree that Dr. Bernstein's A1c numbers in the mid-4s would represent an actual cure, but no one does that.

[d9] The essence of Dr. Faustman's older theory on how to cure type-1 diabetes is:
  • BCG causes the body to generate TNF
  • TNF causes fewer autoreactive T-cells
  • Fewer autoreactive T-cells results in natural beta cell regrowth and more insulin generation
  • More insulin generation is the path to curing type-1
BCG (Bacillus Calmette–Guérin) is a biologic that has been given to over a billion people (in low dose) as a tuberculosis vaccine, and is also approved (in much higher doses) as a bladder cancer treatment. It is a generic drug with a very long record of safety.

TNF ("Tumor necrosis factor" or TNF-alpha) is a naturally occurring protein that can cause cells to die. It is involved in the natural regulation of immune cells.

"Autoreactive" refers to immune cells that mistakenly attack the body's own beta cells. The destruction of these beta cells leads to type-1 diabetes. This is sometimes referred to as an "autoimmune attack" because the body's own immune system attacks the body itself.

Many more details are available here [r10].

[d10] For A1c improvements, my standard (which I think is pretty common among both researchers and the FDA) is that changes below 0.5 are not of importance, changes above 1.0 are definitely important, and numbers between these are of mild importance.  So the BCG results (if supported by larger trials) would be in the mild interest area.

[d11]  Here are three supporting quotes:
Clinical studies aiming at preservation of beta cell function should be randomized, preferably double-blind and placebo-controlled and should include patients with a documented residual beta cell function. The primary outcome should preferably consist of co-primary endpoints including not only the change from baseline in C-peptide (e.g. C-peptide AUC) or, if appropriately justified, the percentage of patients with C-peptide increases above a clinically meaningful threshold following a physiological stimulus (e.g. liquid mixed meal) under standardized conditions but also HbA1c, frequency of hypoglycaemic episodes, particularly severe events, or the percentage of patients not requiring insulin therapy or with a relevant reduction in insulin requirements. Any of these endpoints not included as co-primary endpoint should be evaluated as important secondary endpoint. [r22]
FDA and EMA stand ready to approve disease modifying therapies for T1D. and have expressed reasonable expectations for demonstrating efficacy of therapies aimed at preserving insulin secretion in new onset patients. It is unclear what minimum treatment effect on preservation of C-peptide secretion, the regulatory primary efficacy endpoint, would be considered clinically meaningful for a new onset intervention. A small effect size (10-20% at two years) might be enough if the safety profile is very benign. [r23]
And finally, compare these two quotes from [r24]:
Efficacy endpoints. Stimulated C-peptide response is accepted as the regulatory primary endpoint because it is a direct measure of reducing the hormonal deficiency state of T1DM.
Secondary endpoints and their considerations. HbA1c is the gold standard measure of glycemic control, but it is an insensitive measure of improved beta cell function resulting from an intervention. 

Reference [r-Numbered] Footnotes

[r1] The Press Release: https://www.massgeneral.org/News/pressrelease.aspx?id=2262
and the Faustman lab FAQ is here:
https://www.faustmanlab.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/FAQs.pdf

[r2] The Paper: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41541-018-0062-8  and this includes supplementary data here: https://static-content.springer.com/esm/art%3A10.1038%2Fs41541-018-0062-8/MediaObjects/41541_2018_62_MOESM1_ESM.pdf

[r3] Abstract of The Poster:
https://plan.core-apps.com/tristar_ada18/abstract/5188446740e191fd289345d56a7ee704
This tweet contains the poster and a little discussion:
https://twitter.com/HangryPancreas/status/1011294476260831233

[r4] Medical Press Coverage:
https://www.medpagetoday.com/meetingcoverage/ada/73696
https://www.statnews.com/2018/06/21/type-1-diabetes-vaccine-denise-faustman/

[r5] ADA/JDRF Response:
http://www.diabetes.org/assets/pdfs/news/joint-statement-from-ada-and-jdrf.pdf
and coverage:
https://www.healthline.com/diabetesmine/denise-faustman-research-pushback-ada-jdrf

[r6] The FDA clinical trial record for the phase-I study:
https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00607230

[r7] The FDA clinical trial record for the phase-II study:
https://www.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02081326

[r8] More than you ever wanted to know about how the FDA evaluates clinical trial end points:
https://www.fda.gov/downloads/Drugs/.../Guidances/ucm071624.pdf

[r9] This report summarizes the conclusions of the D-Cure workshop of international experts held in Barcelona in April 2007 and the current recommendations and updates in the field:
https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/c337/5ee9865135c7e312417fa7b8b04b9564c776.pdf

[r10] Dr. Faustman's most recent paper describing TNF as the mechanism of a cure was published in 2017:
    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28843039
And she had edited an entire book on the subject in 2014:
    https://www.elsevier.com/books/the-value-of-bcg-and-tnf-in-autoimmunity/faustman/978-0-12-799964-7
And she had several earlier publications on the same (now defunct) theory:
    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3870411/
    http://www.pnas.org/content/105/36/13644

[r11] https://twitter.com/snp_io/status/1010616966523088896
[r12] https://twitter.com/Fallabel/status/1011280750967246848
[r13] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4265871/

[r14] https://www.theguardian.com/science/blog/2014/dec/10/science-health-news-hype-press-releases-universities
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3735615/
https://www.scidev.net/global/health/practical-guide/progress-or-pr-how-to-report-clinical-trials.html
https://www.healthnewsreview.org/2018/04/a-cancer-doctor-speaks-out-how-premature-hype-about-experimental-drugs-fails-patients/

[r16] These are general references for results switching:
    http://compare-trials.org/blog/are-your-results-unusual-or-how-often-are-outcomes-switched/
    https://www.bmj.com/content/356/bmj.j396
    https://www.enago.com/academy/issue-at-hand-outcome-switching-in-clinical-trials/
    https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/side-effects/201604/how-outcome-switching-is-corrupting-medical-research
And this organization:
    http://compare-trials.org/
This abstract is an interesting read as well:
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-017-09553-y

[r17] Initial results of the BCG phase-I clinical trial:
http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0041756

[r18] This paper argues that A1c is the right end point to measure treatments for type-2 diabetes:
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5350060/

[r19] This is a link to the US FDA's Clinical Trial Registry Site, plus an article about it:
    https://clinicaltrials.gov
    https://www.vox.com/2014/12/6/7344357/clinical-trials-transparency

[r20] Dr. Faustman's Lab has raised about $11 million for their phase-I trial and about $23 million for their phase-II trial:
    https://www.bizjournals.com/boston/news/2016/11/03/mgh-looks-to-reverse-diabetes-with-funding-from.html
    https://www.bizjournals.com/boston/news/2018/06/21/mgh-study-finds-generic-drug-can-reverse-type-i.html

[r21] The two key quotes from her paper are:
As previously published, the elevations in tumor necrosis factor (TNF) from the BCG vaccine stimulate cytotoxic T cell death and beneficial Treg expansion [in live mice and isolated human tissue]
and then:
The mechanism for lowered HbA1c values [in people] was not equivalent to the NOD diabetic mouse pancreas regeneration after BCG treatment
[r22] http://www.ema.europa.eu/docs/en_GB/document_library/Scientific_guideline/2012/06/WC500129256.pdf

[r23] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5748875/

[r24] https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.4161/hv.7.1.14527

Joshua Levy 
https://ift.tt/29DuN3o 
publicjoshualevy at gmail dot com 
All the views expressed here are those of Joshua Levy, and nothing here is official JDRF, JDCA, or Bigfoot Biomedical news, views, policies or opinions. In my day job, I work in software for Bigfoot Biomedical. My daughter has type-1 diabetes and participates in clinical trials, which might be discussed here. My blog contains a more complete non-conflict of interest statement. Thanks to everyone who helps with the blog.



via Cure Research

Thursday 19 July 2018

Friends For Life Orlando, 2018

Just a few things I love about the Children With Diabetes, Friends For Life Orlando conference I attend last week.
####### 
Super special coin and bracelet.
People roaming the halls of Disney’s Coronado Springs wearing green and orange bracelets, and who “get diabetes," without ever uttering the D word. I LOVE THAT. 

Littles running up to me and shouting: Mama, she has a green bracelet like me!

Realizing that the young “teen” you've mentored/been friends with for years, is now a vibrant 21 year old woman with t1d who is thriving! 
Seeing the 16 and 14 year-old t1s and the awesome 11 year old orange bracelet sibling you’ve known since they were in single digits, are growing and becoming and it blows your mind.

Hanging at the bar with other green/orange bracelet adults and laughing with them about everything - including all the beeps and blips from all the various diabetes electronicals.

Bumping into the little boy who told you last year that diabetes “makes him happy and sad,” and who now declares “that he loves diabetes.” And it ROCKS YOUR WORLD. 

Meeting a 10-year-old, green bracelet “First Timer,” and his orange bracelet wearing little sister in the lunch line, and who become super excited to make superhero capes at the Dexcom booth after you tell them that it’s a thing. Then green bracelet boy discusses with you in great detail about pumping, wearing a Dex, and how he gets his love of sauerkraut from his Grandmother, as he piles his lunch plate with 3 big scoops. 
You get dTechy with him and also tell him that you can totally relate to his sauerkraut obsession because thanks to your dad, you feel the same exact way about horseradish — and you both start to giggle. 
He follows you over to the dessert table and you both go for the oatmeal cookies “because they are the best,” and the giggles continue.
A few hours later, two green and orange bracelet wearing super heroes (and one with a penchant for sauerkraut,) are rocking capes and participating in your #IwishPeopleKnewThatDiabetes Booth.  

Your special group of “First Timers alumni,” are now seasoned Friends for Lifers, who you have special drinks and exchange silly texts with.
T1 Chicks & Orange Bracelet friends @ the Omnipod party for
T1 Adults at #FFLOrlando18 
D Squad goals met and exceeded because of a group of fantastical green and orange bracelet wearing chick friends, who have indeed become friends for life. 
These women send you wake up texts on the day you fly out to ffl; buy you unsalted almonds and water at publix, ply you with British chocolates, understand your “L Explorer” and “GM Running Club” references, and always make you laugh! 

Sitting at the bar and watching your “diabetes brothers” nerd out over Disney’s Avatar Ride, while you and your D-Sister can’t stop laughing at and with them.

Attending adult t1 support sessions about diabetes burnout and diabetes complications in a judgment free zone. 

Your D mama friend who once again makes sure you’re OK with juice boxes and bottled water. 

Orange bracelets who have become friends for life!

Watching your t1d friend experience FFL for the first time and through her eyes.
You forget that she’s shy because she's anything but with you. 
And you burst with pride as she reaches her goal to meet 3 new green/orange bracelet wearing friends in the next hour at the bar.

Discovering that the little shy, Ninja Turtle loving, 4 year old green bracelet wearing boy from last year, is now a talkative, confident, and positive Spidey Super Hero with a huge smile and an amazing attitude!

Experiencing one of the worst lows of your life surrounded by people who love and help you, and continue to check in with you throughout the day, into the evening, and well into the next day - and in a way that doesn’t make you feel like a burden. 

And you are so incredibly thankful for them.

Realizing a few days later while talking with your diabetes brother about that low, that maybe it’s time to do something you’ve been putting off for a while. 
Sidebar: More on that later. 

Standing at the ice machine on Friday afternoon after a long day of sessions, attempting to fill a ziplock bag with ice, so you can ice your broken toe (long story), and failing miserably, Ice keeps spilling EVERY WHERE and you are about to lose your proverbial shit.
Then you feel a slight brush against the side of your thigh and exactly where your omnipod and purple grip are, followed by a little voice that’s barely a whisper, saying: I like your gripper and your Omnipod. 
You turn around and see a little girl with blond hair, wearing a blue and green bikini, with a pod on her belly that’s surrounded by a super cool black oval grip— and she’s looking up at you with a broad and shy smile.
And you know it must have taken all the courage she could muster to walk up and start a conversation with you.  
Your heart melts and you respond: I like yours too. 
And then you both start talking about all things diabetes — your new D friend is a year and a half in and her mom is watching and smiling. 
All of a sudden you’re not frustrated anymore. You’re happy and you want to hug this amazing little girl and tell her that’s she’s exceptionally awesome, because she is, so you do. 
You’re glad you’re wearing sunglasses because you know your eyes are on the verge of leaking. 
Then her mom grabs your arm and thanks you for “doing what you do because it’s amazing,” and you feel your cheeks turning red. 
You thank the mom for all she does, tell your new friend that you’ll look for her in the pool and in the hallways and she promises to do the same. 

You say your goodbyes and walk in the direction that may or may not get you to your room, as tears start streaming down your face and in the best of ways.


Because once again you are reminded how much you need to be at the Children with Diabetes, Friends for Life Conference in Orlando.  How much it recharges your diabetes batteries and your spirit - and you are so incredibly grateful~


via Diabetesaliciousness

Metformin vs sulfonylurea? July 19, 2018

During an average follow-up period of just over a year, sulfonylurea use (switching and adding combined) was associated with an increased risk of heart attack (7.8 v 6.2 per 1000 person years), all cause mortality (27.3 v 21.5), and severe hypoglycaemia (5.5 v 0.7), compared with continuing metformin alone.
 https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/07/180718183602.htm?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+sciencedaily%2Fhealth_medicine%2Fdiabetes+%28Diabetes+News+--+ScienceDaily%29
Metformin vs  sulfonylurea? There is the problem. SU added - on as second line in treatment, why? Because of first line, metformin, did not work. Now it is study to suggest, because of Metformin alone does not work, it is better to ... , it is better to do what? Add - on SU. But at the same time Metformin must stay in treatment regime. Why? If Metformin did not work in first place then why it must stay now? How study find it? Simple. Metformin must stay. Period. Then add-on SU. Together they work better. Poison from Metformin + Beta Cells destruction from SU + Low Blood sugar from SU all together they will kill better then any one of these drags alone.
  
It is really interesting. Just withing one year increased risk of all cause mortality. Take study a little bit longer, and withing less then 10 years all participants would be in death.

To compare, study what would happen if in stead add-on SU, it will be Insulin added as first line therapy? How diabetics type 2 would survive? Just one year, and result will be dramatic. All complications will be vanished. And what about benefits of this therapy? Diabetics type 2 no longer occupy medical clinic. There are no bills to be paid. There are no diet docors to publish books and articles how to eat. Diabetics type 2 as every one else can eat as they please. And do not pretend that they eat cake every day biggest one and as ass-on take three tops of pizza every meal.  Not at all. Diabetics type 2 not monsters. They are intelligent and well educated. At least, no one of them is enemy to themselves.
As such, they conclude that sulfonylureas as second line drugs "are associated with an increased risk of myocardial infarction, all cause mortality, and severe hypoglycaemia, compared with remaining on metformin monotherapy."


via Ravenvoron